The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustn到底是比哪一項...??? Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb continues his exploration of randomness in his fascinating new book, The Black Swan , in which he examines the influence of highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact. Engaging and enlighte...
全文閱讀The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: Amazon.co.uk: Nassim Nicholas Taleb: 9780141034原來丟高高的高度差很大... Great fun … brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling ( Freakonomics ) An idiosyncratically brilliant new book ( Sunday Telegraph ) A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected ( Guardian ) Like the c...
全文閱讀The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb — Reviews, Discussion, 女人的心思也太複雜了吧............... A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The aston...
全文閱讀The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragilit原來是這樣= = PROLOGUE ON THE PLUMAGE OF BIRDS Before the discovery of Australia, people in the old world were convinced that all swans were white, an unassailable belief as it seemed completely confirmed by empirical evidence. The sighting of the first black swan ......
全文閱讀‘The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable’ - New York Times真的，為什麼要這樣呢？ Before the discovery of Australia, people in the old world were convinced that all swans were white, an unassailable belief as it seemed completely confirmed by empirical evidence. The sighting of the first black swan might have been an interesting surpri...
全文閱讀‘The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable’ - New York Times美國隊長+浩克也太可愛~ I push one step beyond this philosophical-logical question into an empirical reality, and one that has obsessed me since childhood. What we call here a Black Swan (and capitalize it) is an event with the following three attributes. First, it is an outlier...
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【本報記者劉奕廷、鐘翠蓮台北報導】由於受到全球 COVID-19新冠肺炎疫情影響，PEUGEOT、CITROEN台灣總代理寶佳聯合氣車日前表示，汽車相關零組件製造供應鏈受到嚴重衝擊，原物料、車用晶片、運輸物流及人事等成本皆大幅攀升，嚴重影響車輛生產成本及交車時程。 圖說：Peugeot小改款3008
【記者 林明益／宜蘭 報導】 宜蘭縣「110年機車汰舊換新及新購電動二輪車補助計畫」已進入最後倒數計時階段，請車主把握今年度加碼補助機會，以免向隅！ 環保局黃政釧局長表示，為鼓勵縣民汰換老舊機車，宜蘭縣配合中央加碼補助車主汰舊換新，本（110）年度本縣縣民淘汰民國96年6月底前出廠的老舊機車後，換購
via m.nanrenwo.net 女人偷情後的18個特征 1、生活規律變化，時間觀念敏感 本來經常准點回家的妻子，突然變得經常很晚才回家或者過早離開家，下班時間你去接她沒接到人，大半夜上網聊天，偷偷摸摸看郵箱，回避自己老公看他人的網站、空間，本應很正常的舉動
怎麼現在的女人都這樣，公主病很重..... 婚前啊!男人不要因為愛走錯路了... 當個沒用男幹嘛？男人該講話就要出聲！ 娶那種老婆，不累嗎？？ ----------------------------------------------------------------
不得不說看完line原po也是一個處處替人著想的女孩兒～ 兩人要好好把握對方哦 ------------------ Dcard 原文 -說好的「有錢就是任性」篇哈哈part1有人猜到閃光的阿公是誰太強
原文出處：萌咩誌 編輯：鴉小編 萌友們，呀比～我是鴉小編(‘ω’)ノ 奇怪…「進擊的巨人」展覽不是12月嗎？ 居然已經有奇行種巨人去侵略百貨公司？ (應該是因為錯過週年慶吧www) ▲據說調查兵團的精銳已經駐紮在百貨現場 為了見到帥氣的團長大人&he
以下圖片來源 楊斌和徐露結婚5年了，像大多數普通的夫妻一樣，他們已經退去了激情，在丈夫楊斌的眼中，生活顯得平淡甚至無趣。有時看著徐露總不免心生不滿，熱別是白天嗅到公司里那些年輕漂亮的女孩聚在一起討論新款的時裝和化妝品時散發出誘人的香水味，晚上回到家聞到妻子一身油煙味時他總忍不住在心裡嘀咕：徐露怎
圖片來源 原po：我沒有dcard本來也不想發文 但閃光 也就是這帳號的主人在看到男生也是會被強暴的那篇生病發燒到全身無力 怎料照料我的女生哥們突然脫我褲子 最後竟然…就一直慫恿我講出自己的事情那篇文章備受質疑與攻擊 我只能說 信你就信 不信你就當我在呼籲一件你我都該去關注的事情我的